WorldStreet
ScienceDecember 31
October 31
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Politics · Featured
December 31
October 31
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Read full rulesScienceDecember 31
October 31
ScienceDecember 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
ScienceJune 30
December 31
ScienceSpaceX
Anthropic
ScienceDecember 31, 2027
September 30, 2027
ScienceJune 30, 2027?
March 31, 2027
Science↑5k
↑4.75k
Science20 to 34
35 to 49
Science4700+
4800+
ScienceYes
No
ScienceDecember 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
Science0
1
ScienceChopsticks catch Super Heavy booster?
Chopsticks catch Starship?
ScienceDecember 31
November 30
ScienceHodge Conjecture
No solution by Dec 31, 2027
ScienceYes
No
ScienceDecember 31
October 31
ScienceYes
No
ScienceYes
No
Science140-159
120-139
ScienceDecember 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
ScienceYes
No
ScienceYes
No
Science<14
15
ScienceDecember 31, 2028
December 31, 2027
ScienceYes
No
ScienceYes
No
ScienceYes
No
ScienceHodge Conjecture
Ramsey Number R(5,5)
ScienceDecember 31, 2026
October 31, 2026
ScienceDecember 31
June 30
ScienceDecember 31
June 30
ScienceYes
No
ScienceYes
No
ScienceOpenAI
Anthropic
ScienceDecember 31, 2028
December 31, 2027