Local · Politics
Who will win the 2027 Presidential Election?
Bola Tinubu
69%Peter Obi
13%Atiku Abubakar
4%Goodluck Jonathan
3%Nasir El-Rufai
1%Nyesom Wike
1%Omoyele Sowore
1%Ayodele Fayose
1%Other
1%Rotimi Amaechi
1%Aminu Tambuwal
1%Seyi Makinde
1%Ngozi Okonjo Iweala
1%Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
1%Godswill Akpabio
1%Kashim Shettima
1%About this market
This market tracks who is officially declared the winner of the 2027 Nigerian Presidential Election by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC). The outcome is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes or legal challenges. If no candidate meets the constitutional threshold and a runoff is held, the market resolves based on the final INEC-declared winner after the runoff. If any listed candidate is disqualified, replaced, or withdraws, the market still resolves based on the final declared winner by INEC. If a different candidate not listed wins, it resolves under Others. If a court later overturns the result, the market still resolves based on INEC’s initial official declaration, not the final judicial outcome. If the election is cancelled or remains inconclusive with no official winner declared by December 31, 2027, the market resolves as Others. If no election is conducted or no winner is declared by December 31, 2027, the market resolves as Others.
Rules — Bola Tinubu
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Bola Tinubu as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Peter Obi
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Peter Obi as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Atiku Abubakar
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Atiku Abubakar as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Goodluck Jonathan
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Goodluck Jonathan as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Nasir El-Rufai
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Nasir El-Rufai as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Nyesom Wike
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Nyesom Wike as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Omoyele Sowore
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Omoyele Sowore as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Ayodele Fayose
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Ayodele Fayose as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Other
This market will resolve as Yes if any other candidate not listed is declared the winner by INEC, or if no winner is officially declared by December 31, 2027. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Rotimi Amaechi
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Rotimi Amaechi as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Aminu Tambuwal
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Aminu Tambuwal as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Seyi Makinde
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Seyi Makinde as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Ngozi Okonjo Iweala
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Ngozi Okonjo Iweala as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Rules — Godswill Akpabio
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Godswill Akpabio as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes
Rules — Kashim Shettima
This market will resolve as Yes if INEC officially declares Kashim Shettima as the winner of the 2027 presidential election. The outcome of the 2027 Presidential Election market is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes, legal challenges, and judicial outcomes.
Resolution source: https://www.inecnigeria.org/