Local · Politics
Osun State 2026 Gubernatorial Election Winner?
Ademola Adeleke
70%Bola Oyebamiji
25%Adebayo Adedamola
2%Iyiola Omisore
2%Olusegun Fanibe
1%Najeem Salaam
1%Clement Bamigbola
1%Akin Ogunbiyi
1%Mulikat Abiola Jimoh
1%Kola Adewusi
1%Hareter Oralusi
1%Jide Omoworare
1%Olajide Esan
1%Benedict Alabi
1%Others
1%Moshood Adeoti
1%About this market
This market tracks which candidate is officially declared the winner of the Osun State governorship election in 2026 by the Independent National Electoral Commission (INEC), following the completion of voting and collation of results. The outcome is based strictly on INEC’s official declaration of results, regardless of subsequent disputes or legal challenges. If no candidate meets the constitutional threshold and a runoff is held, the market resolves based on the final INEC-declared winner after the runoff. If any listed candidate is disqualified, replaced, or withdraws, the market still resolves based on the final declared winner by INEC. If a different candidate not listed wins, it resolves under Others. If a court later overturns the result, the market still resolves based on INEC’s initial official declaration, not the final judicial outcome. If the election is cancelled or remains inconclusive with no official winner declared by December 31, 2026, the market resolves as Others. If no election is conducted or no winner is declared by December 31, 2026, the market resolves as Others.
Rules — Ademola Adeleke
This market will resolve as Yes if Ademola Adeleke wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Bola Oyebamiji
This market will resolve as Yes if Bola Oyebamiji wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Adebayo Adedamola
This market will resolve as Yes if Adebayo Adedamola wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Iyiola Omisore
This market will resolve as Yes if Iyiola Omisore wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Olusegun Fanibe
This market will resolve as Yes if Olusegun Fanibe wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Najeem Salaam
This market will resolve as Yes if Najeem Salaam wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Clement Bamigbola
This market will resolve as Yes if Clement Bamigbola wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Akin Ogunbiyi
This market will resolve as Yes if Akin Ogunbiyi wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Mulikat Abiola Jimoh
This market will resolve as Yes if Mulikat Abiola Jimoh wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Kola Adewusi
This market will resolve as Yes if Kola Adewusi wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Hareter Oralusi
This market will resolve as Yes if Hareter Oralusi wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Jide Omoworare
This market will resolve as Yes if Jide Omoworare wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Olajide Esan
This market will resolve as Yes if Olajide Esan wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Benedict Alabi
This market will resolve as Yes if Benedict Alabi wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Rules — Others
This market will resolve as Yes if any other candidate wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026 or if no winner is announced by 11:59 PM WAT, December 31, 2026.
Rules — Moshood Adeoti
This market will resolve as Yes if Moshood Adeoti wins the Osun State Governorship Election in 2026.
Resolution source: https://docs.google.com/document/d/104MkzeH8226RQYQenU6fmPWOYYgAFfecFNKIy-mNdZg/edit?usp=drivesdk