Will Trump be impeached before his term ends?

$113K Vol.Jan 20, 2029

Market probability

79% chance

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Yes
$113K Vol.
79%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of President Donald Trump between market creation and January 20, 2029, at 12:00 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 20, 2029.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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