Will the Senate pass another reconciliation bill by...?

$6.8K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

23% chance

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Yes
$4K Vol.
23%1%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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