Will the House pass another reconciliation bill by...?

$18.2K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

December 3142.0%October 315.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

December 31
$13.6K Vol.
42%10%
October 31
$631 Vol.
5%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US House passes a reconciliation bill between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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