Will Hochul sign the data center moratorium bill in 2026?

$120 Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

35% chance

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Yes
$120 Vol.
35%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if New York Governor Kathy Hochul signs the Responsible Data Center Development Act (A11560/S10642) into law by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A signature made on the condition that the Legislature later amends the bill will count. The primary resolution source is the New York State Senate's legislation tracker (https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642) and other official information from the government of New York, however other credible reporting may be used.

Resolution source: https://www.nysenate.gov/legislation/bills/2025/S10642

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

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