Who will become a UFC champion in 2026?

$325K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

Merab Dvalishvili42.0%Sean O'Malley19.0%Sergei Pavlovich11.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Merab Dvalishvili
$1.7K Vol.
42%2%
Sean O'Malley
$1.5K Vol.
19%3%
Sergei Pavlovich
$220 Vol.
11%8%
Nassourdine Imavov
$2.3K Vol.
8%1%
Alexander Volkov
$673 Vol.
8%
Manel Kape
$46.2K Vol.
6%
Dricus Du Plessis
$129 Vol.
6%
Charles Oliveira
$134 Vol.
5%
Paddy Pimblett
$4.2K Vol.
5%
Magomed Ankalaev
$1.3K Vol.
5%2%
Max Holloway
$122 Vol.
5%
Jiří Procházka
$3.7K Vol.
4%2%
Arman Tsarukyan
$5.8K Vol.
4%1%
Aljamain Sterling
$237 Vol.
3%
Ian Machado Garry
$2.6K Vol.
3%
Shavkat Rakhmonov
$73 Vol.
3%
Cory Sandhagen
$335 Vol.
3%
Yair Rodriguez
$47 Vol.
3%
Diego Lopes
$6.4K Vol.
3%1%
Belal Muhammad
$486 Vol.
3%
Jack Della Maddalena
$49.7K Vol.
2%
Leon Edwards
$41.9K Vol.
1%
Umar Nurmagomedov
$2.2K Vol.
1%2%
Kamaru Usman
$6.9K Vol.
1%
Alexandre Pantoja
$23.8K Vol.
1%
Deiveson Figueiredo
$1.9K Vol.
1%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed fighter becomes champion of any UFC division between January 1, 2026 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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