Who will be UFC Lightweight champion at the end of 2026?

$763K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

Justin Gaethje92.0%Arman Tsarukyan7.0%Ilia Topuria0.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Justin Gaethje
$57.5K Vol.
92%3%
Arman Tsarukyan
$47.7K Vol.
7%2%
Ilia Topuria
$25.2K Vol.
0%
Max Holloway
$20.8K Vol.
0%
Paddy Pimblett
$532K Vol.
0%
Charles Oliveira
$11.8K Vol.
0%
Dan Hooker
$2.2K Vol.
0%
Mateusz Gamrot
$2K Vol.
0%
Benoît Saint Denis
$54.2K Vol.
0%
Rafael Fiziev
$2.1K Vol.
0%
Renato Moicano
$2.4K Vol.
0%
Mauricio Ruffy
$4.8K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the official UFC Lightweight division champion on December 31, 2026 at 12:00 PM ET. Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count. If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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