Who will attend the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony?

$166K Vol.Dec 1, 2026

Market probability

Kate Scott99.0%Lamine Yamal99.0%Rodri98.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Kate Scott
$312 Vol.
99%
Lamine Yamal
$4.2K Vol.
99%
Rodri
$9.8K Vol.
98%2%
Harry Kane
$4.9K Vol.
98%1%
Thierry Henry
$1.1K Vol.
94%
Kylian Mbappé
$8.2K Vol.
94%4%
Jude Bellingham
$85 Vol.
88%
Vozinha
$879 Vol.
77%
Ousmane Dembélé
$15.2K Vol.
71%22%
Zinedine Zidane
$19.6K Vol.
68%6%
Erling Haaland
$346 Vol.
67%
Michael Olise
$203 Vol.
64%
Michael Owen
$4K Vol.
61%5%
Vinícius Júnior
$17.9K Vol.
61%4%
David Beckham
$6.3K Vol.
61%5%
Pep Guardiola
$54 Vol.
31%
Ronaldo Nazário
$110 Vol.
31%
Lionel Messi
$23K Vol.
29%8%
Ronaldinho
$140 Vol.
28%
Jürgen Klopp
$60 Vol.
28%
DJ Snake
$20 Vol.
27%
Princess Charlene of Monaco
$41 Vol.
19%
Sergio Ramos
$12.7K Vol.
15%10%
Kaka
$8.6K Vol.
14%12%
Vincent Kompany
$665 Vol.
7%
Luis Enrique
$783 Vol.
5%
Fabián Ruiz
$2.6K Vol.
4%
Xavi Hernandez
$5.7K Vol.
3%1%
Cristiano Ronaldo
$18.4K Vol.
2%2%

Market rules

About this market

The 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is scheduled to be held in London on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual attends the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is canceled or postponed beyond November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". For the purpose of this market, attending the 2026 Ballon d'Or ceremony is defined as being in physical attendance during any part of the event. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Timeline and payout

Ends December 1, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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