Who will announce Presidential run before 2028?

$129K Vol.Jan 1, 2028

Market probability

Andy Beshear88.0%Ted Cruz83.0%Pete Buttigieg80.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Andy Beshear
$1.3K Vol.
88%
Ted Cruz
$6K Vol.
83%
Pete Buttigieg
$2.6K Vol.
80%
Gavin Newsom
$6.5K Vol.
77%
J.D. Vance
$5.1K Vol.
76%
Raphael Warnock
$908 Vol.
68%19%
Josh Shapiro
$946 Vol.
68%1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$7K Vol.
67%3%
Ron DeSantis
$563 Vol.
65%
Rahm Emanuel
$1.5K Vol.
61%1%
Cory Booker
$2.4K Vol.
60%
Kamala Harris
$5.4K Vol.
57%7%
Mark Kelly
$541 Vol.
56%1%
Wes Moore
$220 Vol.
52%13%
Andrew Yang
$3.7K Vol.
50%3%
Jon Ossoff
$3.9K Vol.
48%3%
J.B. Pritzker
$1.6K Vol.
48%5%
Marco Rubio
$3.1K Vol.
46%4%
Brian Kemp
$450 Vol.
42%14%
Rand Paul
$462 Vol.
42%7%
Phil Murphy
$1.5K Vol.
41%1%
Katie Britt
$20 Vol.
39%
Jared Polis
$80 Vol.
37%1%
Josh Hawley
$4.9K Vol.
34%3%
Gina Raimondo
$2K Vol.
34%1%
Glenn Youngkin
$658 Vol.
34%
Hunter Biden
$5.5K Vol.
33%1%
Gretchen Whitmer
$966 Vol.
32%
Steve Bannon
$2.4K Vol.
30%2%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$492 Vol.
26%
Nikki Haley
$361 Vol.
25%
Greg Abbott
$0 Vol.
25%
Elise Stefanik
$80 Vol.
25%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$252 Vol.
24%
Byron Donalds
$94 Vol.
24%
Don Lemon
$40 Vol.
23%
Roy Cooper
$40 Vol.
21%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$0 Vol.
20%
Stephen A. Smith
$1.1K Vol.
20%
Tulsi Gabbard
$945 Vol.
19%
Mark Cuban
$325 Vol.
19%
John Fetterman
$3.2K Vol.
19%1%
Jon Stewart
$1.9K Vol.
17%
Tucker Carlson
$4.2K Vol.
17%
Matt Gaetz
$358 Vol.
17%2%
Kristi Noem
$80 Vol.
16%1%
Mike Pence
$670 Vol.
16%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$990 Vol.
16%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$1.1K Vol.
16%
Candace Owens
$460 Vol.
16%1%
Michelle Obama
$1.4K Vol.
15%
John Thune
$203 Vol.
15%1%
Liz Cheney
$1.8K Vol.
14%
Donald Trump Jr.
$2.7K Vol.
14%
George Clooney
$1.5K Vol.
13%
Oprah Winfrey
$37 Vol.
13%
Kim Kardashian
$5.3K Vol.
13%1%
Elon Musk
$2.6K Vol.
13%
Donald Trump
$100 Vol.
12%
Bernie Sanders
$2.4K Vol.
12%
Beto O’Rourke
$20 Vol.
12%
LeBron James
$277 Vol.
11%
Chelsea Clinton
$125 Vol.
11%
Tom Brady
$1.2K Vol.
10%
Zohran Mamdani
$2.8K Vol.
9%
MrBeast
$1.9K Vol.
9%
Tim Walz
$5.3K Vol.
8%1%
Ivanka Trump
$389 Vol.
7%
Erika Kirk
$4.4K Vol.
7%
Hillary Clinton
$4.6K Vol.
4%
Barack Obama
$628 Vol.
2%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2028.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

Loading comments…

Choose an outcome to trade