Who will announce Presidential run before 2027?

$1.2M Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

Pete Buttigieg21.0%Rahm Emanuel20.0%Ron DeSantis15.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Pete Buttigieg
$23.3K Vol.
21%6%
Rahm Emanuel
$20.2K Vol.
20%
Ron DeSantis
$3.4K Vol.
15%
Gavin Newsom
$89K Vol.
14%
Phil Murphy
$4.6K Vol.
12%
Mark Kelly
$13.3K Vol.
11%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$57.3K Vol.
11%1%
Raphael Warnock
$4K Vol.
10%
Ted Cruz
$16.9K Vol.
9%
Andy Beshear
$26.8K Vol.
9%
Gina Raimondo
$4.3K Vol.
9%1%
Glenn Youngkin
$6.8K Vol.
7%
Kamala Harris
$68.5K Vol.
7%
Cory Booker
$17.4K Vol.
7%
Don Lemon
$2.8K Vol.
7%
J.B. Pritzker
$3.8K Vol.
7%
Rand Paul
$20.4K Vol.
7%
Beto O’Rourke
$11.6K Vol.
6%
J.D. Vance
$39.4K Vol.
6%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$17.2K Vol.
6%
Brian Kemp
$4.6K Vol.
6%
Josh Hawley
$9.1K Vol.
6%
Nikki Haley
$4.7K Vol.
5%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$9.7K Vol.
5%1%
Josh Shapiro
$13.8K Vol.
5%
Greg Abbott
$4.1K Vol.
5%
Jon Ossoff
$27.1K Vol.
5%
Jon Stewart
$4.6K Vol.
5%1%
George Clooney
$5.4K Vol.
5%
Hunter Biden
$58.5K Vol.
4%
Tucker Carlson
$30.5K Vol.
4%
Andrew Yang
$16.4K Vol.
4%
Marco Rubio
$12.4K Vol.
4%
Elise Stefanik
$4.4K Vol.
4%1%
Tom Brady
$9.7K Vol.
4%
Donald Trump Jr.
$9.5K Vol.
4%
John Thune
$5K Vol.
4%
Erika Kirk
$26.8K Vol.
4%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$22.3K Vol.
4%
Gretchen Whitmer
$5K Vol.
4%
Elon Musk
$9.8K Vol.
3%
Donald Trump
$70.8K Vol.
3%
Zohran Mamdani
$36.3K Vol.
3%
Wes Moore
$6.9K Vol.
3%
John Fetterman
$7.2K Vol.
3%
Kristi Noem
$20.2K Vol.
3%
Ivanka Trump
$39.5K Vol.
3%
Liz Cheney
$3K Vol.
3%
Steve Bannon
$20.5K Vol.
3%
Candace Owens
$12.2K Vol.
3%
Michelle Obama
$14.7K Vol.
3%
Barack Obama
$11.3K Vol.
3%
Matt Gaetz
$3.3K Vol.
3%
Jared Polis
$6.2K Vol.
2%1%
Bernie Sanders
$4.3K Vol.
2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$11.1K Vol.
2%
LeBron James
$16.1K Vol.
2%
Katie Britt
$26.4K Vol.
2%
Kim Kardashian
$6.6K Vol.
2%
Mike Pence
$15.6K Vol.
2%
Oprah Winfrey
$17.6K Vol.
2%
Tulsi Gabbard
$6.5K Vol.
2%
MrBeast
$29.6K Vol.
2%
Roy Cooper
$7K Vol.
1%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$8.3K Vol.
1%
Tim Walz
$6.8K Vol.
1%
Hillary Clinton
$15.9K Vol.
1%
Mark Cuban
$14.7K Vol.
1%
Chelsea Clinton
$13.5K Vol.
1%
Stephen A. Smith
$19.9K Vol.
1%
Byron Donalds
$10.2K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual officially announces that they are running for U.S. President in the 2028 United States presidential election by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

Loading comments…

Choose an outcome to trade