Toronto Mayoral Election Winner

$621K Vol.Oct 27, 2026

Market probability

Olivia Chow53.0%Brad Bradford47.0%Ana Bailão0.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Olivia Chow
$301K Vol.
53%2%
Brad Bradford
$229K Vol.
47%2%
Ana Bailão
$12.8K Vol.
0%
Michael Ford
$16.3K Vol.
0%
Anthony Furey
$13.1K Vol.
0%
Marco Mendicino
$19.1K Vol.
0%
John Tory
$17.3K Vol.
0%
Kevin Clarke
$12.8K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

The 2026 Toronto mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 26, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Toronto as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Toronto.

Timeline and payout

Ends October 27, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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