Supreme Court vacancy in 2026?

$27.2K Vol.Jan 2, 2027

Market probability

14% chance

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Yes
$27.2K Vol.
14%3%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one seat on the United States Supreme Court becomes vacant between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from the U.S. Government. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 2, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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