Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

$716M Vol.Nov 8, 2028

Market probability

J.D. Vance44.0%Marco Rubio15.0%Ron DeSantis3.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

J.D. Vance
$16M Vol.
44%
Marco Rubio
$10.9M Vol.
15%1%
Ron DeSantis
$15.9M Vol.
3%
Tucker Carlson
$13.9M Vol.
3%
Ted Cruz
$19.8M Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$9.7M Vol.
2%
Donald Trump Jr.
$9.8M Vol.
2%
Ivanka Trump
$8.9M Vol.
1%
Thomas Massie
$6.2M Vol.
1%
Brian Kemp
$18M Vol.
1%
Pete Hegseth
$9.4M Vol.
0%
Glenn Youngkin
$8.8M Vol.
0%
Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
$17M Vol.
0%
Josh Hawley
$20.5M Vol.
0%
Rand Paul
$19.8M Vol.
0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
$6.8M Vol.
0%
Tom Cotton
$1.8M Vol.
0%
Tulsi Gabbard
$14.5M Vol.
0%
Greg Abbott
$21.6M Vol.
0%
Katie Britt
$29M Vol.
0%
Eric Trump
$10.6M Vol.
0%
Candace Owens
$933K Vol.
0%
Nikki Haley
$10.5M Vol.
0%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$16.1M Vol.
0%
Byron Donalds
$44.6M Vol.
0%
Elise Stefanik
$28.2M Vol.
0%
Elon Musk
$31.5M Vol.
0%
Kristi Noem
$37.8M Vol.
0%
Mike Pence
$43.7M Vol.
0%
Steve Bannon
$23M Vol.
0%
Joe Kent
$9M Vol.
0%
Doug Burgum
$1.5M Vol.
0%
John N. Kennedy
$997K Vol.
0%
John McEntee
$414K Vol.
0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
$36.2M Vol.
0%
Tim Scott
$1.4M Vol.
0%
Matt Gaetz
$20.6M Vol.
0%
John Thune
$38.3M Vol.
0%
Tom Brady
$33M Vol.
0%
Erika Kirk
$19M Vol.
0%
Kim Kardashian
$28.6M Vol.
0%
Mike Johnson
$884K Vol.
0%
Rick Scott
$816K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the named individual wins and accepts the 2028 nomination of the Republican Party for U.S. president. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican Party sources. Any replacement of the Republican nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Timeline and payout

Ends November 8, 2028.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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