Presidential Election Winner 2028

$718M Vol.Nov 8, 2028

Market probability

JD Vance20.0%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13.0%Jon Ossoff10.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

JD Vance
$17.2M Vol.
20%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$14M Vol.
13%
Jon Ossoff
$6M Vol.
10%1%
Gavin Newsom
$18.7M Vol.
9%
Marco Rubio
$13M Vol.
9%
Kamala Harris
$9.3M Vol.
4%
Josh Shapiro
$7.6M Vol.
3%
Pete Buttigieg
$8.6M Vol.
3%
Ron DeSantis
$12.7M Vol.
2%
Andy Beshear
$19.4M Vol.
2%
James Talarico
$8.1M Vol.
2%
Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
$8.5M Vol.
2%
Donald Trump
$10.7M Vol.
1%
Tucker Carlson
$14.4M Vol.
1%
Mark Kelly
$831K Vol.
1%
Raphael Warnock
$1.2M Vol.
1%
Wes Moore
$12.8M Vol.
1%
Thomas Massie
$8.6M Vol.
1%
Ro Khanna
$11M Vol.
1%
JB Pritzker
$13.2M Vol.
1%
Ted Cruz
$695K Vol.
1%
Ivanka Trump
$8.6M Vol.
1%
Rahm Emanuel
$346K Vol.
1%
Donald Trump Jr.
$14.1M Vol.
1%
Gretchen Whitmer
$15.7M Vol.
0%
Jamie Dimon
$11.1M Vol.
0%
Glenn Youngkin
$28.6M Vol.
0%
Tulsi Gabbard
$35.5M Vol.
0%
Greg Abbott
$35.4M Vol.
0%
Elon Musk
$27.4M Vol.
0%
Michelle Obama
$19.5M Vol.
0%
Stephen Smith
$33.7M Vol.
0%
Nikki Haley
$30.3M Vol.
0%
Tim Walz
$44.9M Vol.
0%
Vivek Ramaswamy
$38M Vol.
0%
LeBron James
$54.9M Vol.
0%
Kim Kardashian
$40.3M Vol.
0%
Zohran Mamdani
$22.4M Vol.
0%
Eric Trump
$18.9M Vol.
0%
Pete Hegseth
$10.4M Vol.
0%
Jalen Brunson
$2.7M Vol.
0%
Abigail Spanberger
$923K Vol.
0%
Hakeem Jeffries
$279K Vol.
0%
Elissa Slotkin
$730K Vol.
0%
Adam Schiff
$945K Vol.
0%
Josh Stein
$1M Vol.
0%
Alex Padilla
$851K Vol.
0%
Candace Owens
$535K Vol.
0%
Tim Scott
$393K Vol.
0%
Mike Johnson
$391K Vol.
0%
Doug Burgum
$414K Vol.
0%
Tom Cotton
$1.6M Vol.
0%
John N. Kennedy
$395K Vol.
0%
Rick Scott
$512K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

Timeline and payout

Ends November 8, 2028.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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