Oscars 2027: Best Documentary Short Film Nominations

$15.8K Vol.Mar 15, 2027

Market probability

The Baddest Speechwriter of All64.0%A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil45.0%Oh Whale43.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

The Baddest Speechwriter of All
$120 Vol.
64%7%
A Short Documentary About a Giant Pencil
$2.2K Vol.
45%14%
Oh Whale
$3.6K Vol.
43%4%
Listen
$2.8K Vol.
42%4%
The Tuners
$20 Vol.
40%1%
A Derailment
$1.4K Vol.
36%7%
One Last Order
$2.8K Vol.
35%5%
A Wolf in the Suburbs
$0 Vol.
28%6%
We're Fine
$2.9K Vol.
23%7%
Water Cooler
$9 Vol.
11%17%

Market rules

About this market

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Short Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends March 15, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

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