Oscars 2027: Best Actor Nominations

$148K Vol.Mar 15, 2027

Market probability

Matt Damon94.0%John Malkovich88.0%Andrew Scott85.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Matt Damon
$6.8K Vol.
94%
John Malkovich
$5.9K Vol.
88%1%
Andrew Scott
$9.1K Vol.
85%
Tom Cruise
$19.7K Vol.
62%1%
Ryan Gosling
$9.6K Vol.
48%4%
John Turturro
$4.8K Vol.
44%15%
Robert Pattinson
$11.8K Vol.
44%4%
Anthony Ippolito
$5.5K Vol.
34%1%
Sebastian Stan
$6.7K Vol.
19%1%
Jaafar Jackson
$13.2K Vol.
17%1%
Pedro Pascal
$12.1K Vol.
15%
Timothée Chalamet
$19.3K Vol.
12%1%
Sam Rockwell
$5.9K Vol.
7%1%
Javier Bardem
$499 Vol.
5%
Brad Pitt
$1.9K Vol.
5%1%
Adam Driver
$1.9K Vol.
5%
Josh O'Connor
$225 Vol.
5%1%
Robert Aramayo
$7.6K Vol.
3%
Jeremy Strong
$5K Vol.
1%

Market rules

About this market

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actor is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends March 15, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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