Nobel Peace Prize Winner 2027

$141K Vol.Apr 1, 2028

Market probability

Committee to Protect Journalists10.0%Donald Trump9.0%Volodymyr Zelenskyy6.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Committee to Protect Journalists
$8.8K Vol.
10%4%
Donald Trump
$8K Vol.
9%
Volodymyr Zelenskyy
$26.1K Vol.
6%2%
Melania Trump
$0 Vol.
6%
Yulia Navalnaya
$11.8K Vol.
6%
Jimmy Lai
$241 Vol.
6%
Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya
$51 Vol.
6%
Sudan's Emergency Response Rooms
$12.5K Vol.
4%1%
Pope Leo XIV
$2K Vol.
3%
UNRWA
$11.8K Vol.
3%
Julian Assange
$1.3K Vol.
3%
António Guterres
$14.4K Vol.
2%1%
International Court of Justice
$1.9K Vol.
2%
Greta Thunberg
$10.4K Vol.
2%1%
Doctors Without Borders
$10.4K Vol.
2%
Elon Musk
$9.3K Vol.
2%
International Criminal Court
$11.5K Vol.
2%1%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual or organization is awarded the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize, as announced by the Norwegian Nobel Committee. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the prize is awarded jointly, each listed individual or organization named among the recipients will resolve to "Yes". This market is not limited to a single winner. If no official announcement regarding the 2027 Nobel Peace Prize has been made by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement from the Norwegian Nobel Committee.

Timeline and payout

Ends April 1, 2028.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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