Next US Senate Minority Leader?

$13K Vol.Jan 3, 2027

Market probability

John Thune53.0%Chuck Schumer40.0%John Barrasso7.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

John Thune
$4.5K Vol.
53%
Chuck Schumer
$5.8K Vol.
40%1%
John Barrasso
$368 Vol.
7%
Mark Kelly
$444 Vol.
3%
Tom Cotton
$190 Vol.
1%
Patty Murray
$461 Vol.
1%1%
Rick Scott
$301 Vol.
1%2%
Brian Schatz
$322 Vol.
0%
Cory Booker
$600 Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the individual who is chosen to be the first Senate Minority Leader in the Congress that convenes after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. If no Senate Minority Leader is chosen by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source will be official information from the United States Senate or official announcements from the caucus organization of the relevant party; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 3, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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