Next Senate Majority Leader?

$175K Vol.Nov 4, 2026

Market probability

Chuck Schumer59.0%John Thune24.0%Brian Schatz8.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Chuck Schumer
$18.2K Vol.
59%5%
John Thune
$34.4K Vol.
24%2%
Brian Schatz
$5.1K Vol.
8%
Tom Cotton
$8.3K Vol.
5%
Chris Van Hollen
$1.6K Vol.
5%1%
Cory Booker
$5.3K Vol.
2%
John Barrasso
$5K Vol.
2%
Steve Daines
$25.1K Vol.
1%
Patty Murray
$5.9K Vol.
1%
Amy Klobuchar
$5.1K Vol.
0%
Mark Kelly
$5.4K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the individual who is announced as the next Senate Majority Leader after the November 3, 2026, U.S. General Election. This market will remain open until January 3, 2027, at which point it will resolve based on the first announcement of the next Senate Majority Leader from whichever party holds the majority in the U.S. Senate. If no Majority is established and a leader is not announced by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

Timeline and payout

Ends November 4, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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