Next James Bond announced by...?

$11.1K Vol.Jul 1, 2027

Market probability

March 31, 202786.0%December 31, 202681.0%October 31, 20268.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

March 31, 2027
$2.5K Vol.
86%
December 31, 2026
$5.5K Vol.
81%2%
October 31, 2026
$3K Vol.
8%15%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to “Yes” if an actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor in a starring role of a feature film by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends July 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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