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Tech · AI
OpenNo release by November 30
$709 Vol.
November 20
$407 Vol.
October 26
$468 Vol.
October 24
$320 Vol.
October 30
$322 Vol.
October 29
$369 Vol.
November 27
$325 Vol.
November 5
$525 Vol.
November 13
$291 Vol.
November 14
$426 Vol.
October 27
$528 Vol.
November 7
$564 Vol.
October 28
$245 Vol.
November 15
$439 Vol.
November 8
$439 Vol.
November 4
$232 Vol.
November 29
$206 Vol.
October 31
$527 Vol.
November 21
$332 Vol.
November 11
$228 Vol.
October 25
$340 Vol.
November 10
$259 Vol.
November 22
$226 Vol.
November 3
$258 Vol.
November 9
$208 Vol.
November 19
$202 Vol.
November 12
$186 Vol.
November 18
$186 Vol.
November 24
$256 Vol.
November 25
$160 Vol.
November 28
$172 Vol.
November 30
$287 Vol.
November 1
$444 Vol.
November 2
$177 Vol.
November 6
$173 Vol.
November 16
$190 Vol.
November 17
$177 Vol.
November 23
$193 Vol.
November 26
$190 Vol.
On or prior to October 23
$578 Vol.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which OpenAI's next GPT Terra model (5.7+) is made available to the general public. A qualifying model must have a name or model identifier that includes "GPT" and "Terra" and be designated as version 5.7 or higher, regardless of capitalization or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, dates, or descriptors. For example, a version 5.7 or higher named in the same manner as GPT-5.6 Terra would qualify, including a new whole-number generation such as GPT-6 Terra or an Astra-branded release meeting these criteria, while models whose name does not include "Terra" or which retain a version designation below 5.7, such as GPT-5.6 Terra, GPT-5.6 Sol, or GPT-5.6 Luna, will not qualify. Fine-tunes, modes, or restricted-access variants of an existing version, such as GPT-5.6-Cyber or GPT-5.6 Sol Ultrafast, will not qualify. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Ends December 1, 2026.
Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.
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