Los Angeles Mayoral Election

$15.9M Vol.Jun 3, 2026

Market probability

Nithya Raman53.0%Karen Bass48.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Nithya Raman
$3.1M Vol.
53%
Karen Bass
$1.6M Vol.
48%

Market rules

About this market

The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the election. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of Los Angeles.

Timeline and payout

Ends June 3, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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