Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

$13.5K Vol.Aug 1, 2027

Market probability

Armenia45.0%Malta25.0%Spain24.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Armenia
$802 Vol.
45%14%
Malta
$424 Vol.
25%24%
Spain
$435 Vol.
24%
Ukraine
$2.2K Vol.
15%2%
Ireland
$420 Vol.
14%12%
France
$617 Vol.
13%3%
North Macedonia
$447 Vol.
9%
Poland
$537 Vol.
7%7%
Georgia
$633 Vol.
5%3%
Cyprus
$440 Vol.
4%
San Marino
$485 Vol.
4%
Croatia
$720 Vol.
2%
Montenegro
$717 Vol.
2%
Netherlands
$437 Vol.
2%
Portugal
$391 Vol.
1%
Italy
$463 Vol.
1%1%
Azerbaijan
$2.7K Vol.
1%
Albania
$621 Vol.
1%1%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to the country whose candidate for Junior Eurovision 2026 wins. If at any point it is impossible for the listed candidate to win Junior Eurovision 2026 based on the rules of the competition (i.e. they are eliminated), this market may immediately resolve to "No". If no winner is announced by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Other". All ties will be broken according to EBU's official Junior Eurovision rules. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Junior Eurovision (https://junioreurovision.tv/), including live footage of Junior Eurovision 2026, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

Timeline and payout

Ends August 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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