How many SpaceX launches in October 2026?

$1.8K Vol.Nov 1, 2026

Market probability

<1485.0%1439.0%1631.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

<14
$1.2K Vol.
85%4%
14
$160 Vol.
39%21%
16
$128 Vol.
31%14%
15
$153 Vol.
15%2%
17+
$165 Vol.
1%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between October 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches. In the case of missing or erroneous data from spacex.com, this market will remain open until November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, to allow for updates. If spacex.com has not updated by November 7, 2026 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to a consensus of credible reporting.

Resolution source: https://www.spacex.com/launches

Timeline and payout

Ends November 1, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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