How many SpaceX launches in 2026?

$343K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

140-15969.0%120-1399.0%180-1995.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

140-159
$50.4K Vol.
69%1%
120-139
$5.4K Vol.
9%1%
180-199
$61.7K Vol.
5%
200 or more
$107K Vol.
3%1%
160-179
$103K Vol.
2%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX launches between January 1, 2026, 12:00AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. If the reported total number of SpaceX launches falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be https://www.spacex.com/launches.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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