Economy
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
$47.7M Vol.Dec 31, 2026
0 (0 bps)86.0%1 (25 bps)10.0%2 (50 bps)3.0%
0 (0 bps)
$7.1M Vol.
86%
1 (25 bps)
$2.5M Vol.
10%1%
2 (50 bps)
$2.5M Vol.
3%1%
3 (75 bps)
$2.5M Vol.
1%
4 (100 bps)
$2.4M Vol.
0%
5 (125 bps)
$2.7M Vol.
0%
6 (150 bps)
$3.9M Vol.
0%
12+ (300+ bps)
$3.7M Vol.
0%
7 (175 bps)
$3.2M Vol.
0%
8 (200 bps)
$3.2M Vol.
0%
9 (225 bps)
$4.2M Vol.
0%
10 (250 bps)
$4.9M Vol.
0%
11 (275 bps)
$5M Vol.
0%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the outcome described in “How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?” occurs by December 31, 2026. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No”.
The primary resolution source will be official announcements and a consensus of credible reporting.