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Economy · Fed Rates
OpenBelow 5.25%
$289 Vol.
Below 5.20%
$23.2K Vol.
Below 5.15%
$21.8K Vol.
Below 5.10%
$22.6K Vol.
Below 5.00%
$17.7K Vol.
Below 5.05%
$20.8K Vol.
Below 4.90%
$15.8K Vol.
Below 4.95%
$15K Vol.
Below 4.80%
$17.6K Vol.
Below 4.60%
$23.7K Vol.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between September 3, 2026 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve as soon as the Treasury 30-year yield is lower than the listed value, or once data is available for December 31, 2026. If no qualifying value is published and data is not available for December 31, 2026 by January 14, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "30 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2026).
Ends December 31, 2026.
Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.
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