Anthropic announces bankruptcy by...?

$2.6M Vol.Jan 1, 2030

Market probability

December 31, 202923.0%December 31, 202818.0%December 31, 202710.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

December 31, 2029
$319K Vol.
23%
December 31, 2028
$316K Vol.
18%
December 31, 2027
$2M Vol.
10%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anthropic announces that it will file for bankruptcy or has filed for bankruptcy of any variety by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. An announcement will suffice for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of if or when the actual filing occurs. The announcement must be made through any of their official or verified channels, as a recorded or written statement by their CEO, legal representation, or other individual or team which officially represents Anthropic. A definitive consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2030.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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