Alaska Senate Election Winner

$1.6M Vol.Nov 4, 2026

Market probability

Mary Peltola75.0%Sen. Dan Sullivan26.0%Ann Diener0.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Mary Peltola
$896K Vol.
75%
Sen. Dan Sullivan
$609K Vol.
26%
Ann Diener
$38.1K Vol.
0%
Dustin Darden
$24.3K Vol.
0%
Richard Grayson
$24.9K Vol.
0%
Daniel J. Sullivan Jr.
$0 Vol.
0%
David Leslie
$2.4K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Alaska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs, currently scheduled for November 3, 2026. If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.

Timeline and payout

Ends November 4, 2026.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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