3rd Largest Company end of December 2026?

$97.8K Vol.Jan 1, 2027

Market probability

Microsoft42.0%Alphabet37.0%Apple5.0%

Outcomes

Chance · Price per share

Microsoft
$17.3K Vol.
42%2%
Alphabet
$28.5K Vol.
37%5%
Apple
$16.2K Vol.
5%
NVIDIA
$12.9K Vol.
2%1%
SpaceX
$10.5K Vol.
0%
Amazon
$2.5K Vol.
0%
Tesla
$6.4K Vol.
0%
Saudi Aramco
$1.7K Vol.
0%
Broadcom
$1.9K Vol.
0%

Market rules

About this market

This market will resolve to the third-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31, 2026, as of market close. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Timeline and payout

Ends January 1, 2027.

Winning shares pay $1 and losing shares pay $0, so a share’s price in cents is the market’s implied chance of that outcome.

Social & activity

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